Florida Realtors: Single-family median price up 12% year-to-year, condo median up 19.2% and inventory on the rise. But inflation, higher interest rates impact sales.
ORLANDO, Fla. – Florida’s housing market reported higher median prices and more inventory (active listings) in October compared to a year ago, though inflation and rising interest rates remained a factor for buyers, according to Florida Realtors®’ latest housing data.
Closed sales of single-family homes statewide last month totaled 20,837, down 24.6% year-over-year, while existing condo-townhouse sales totaled 8,356, down 26.9% from October 2021, according to data from Florida Realtors Research Department in partnership with local Realtor boards/associations. Closed sales may occur from 30- to 90-plus days after sales contracts are written.
Year-over-year numbers don’t tell the whole story of what’s happening in Florida’s housing market. Metrics from the second half of 2022 show a market that remains strong, despite higher home prices and mortgage rates.
According to Florida Realtors Chief Economist Dr. Brad O’Connor, a look at market conditions from 2021 to the latter half of 2022 offers insight into how sales have been affected. He explained, “The beginning of 2022 marked the end of a nearly two-year period of record-low mortgage rates, as the Fed began to reverse its course in order to fight pervasive inflation in the economy. The rapid pace of the resulting increases in interest rates has dramatically increased the monthly payments required for new mortgages, and home price growth has only recently started to show signs of responding.
“In terms of closed sales in Florida, 2022 started out a lot like 2021, but soon, the shock of the rapid rise in mortgage rates caused many buyers to suspend their home searches and sit on the fence; some even had to drop out when their planned budget for a home couldn’t keep pace. As a result, the second half of 2022 has seen the level of existing home sales in Florida more-or-less fall in line with the typical pre-pandemic seasonal trends.”
O’Connor added, “The fact that monthly sales still remain in the neighborhood of pre-pandemic levels despite today’s significantly higher home prices and mortgage rates only illustrates that despite these headwinds, housing demand in Florida continues to receive support from its recent surge in post-pandemic in-migration, vacation home purchases, and the ever-increasing number of millennials looking to find a home for their growing families.”
In October, the statewide median sales price for single-family existing homes was $401,990, up 12% from the previous year; for condo-townhouse units, it was $310,000, up 19.2% over the year-ago figure. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half for less.
“The supply of for-sale homes continues to slowly build, easing inventory constraints in many markets across the state,” said 2022 Florida Realtors® President Christina Pappas, vice president of the Keyes Family of Companies in Miami. “Having more supply available will begin to ease some of the pressure on home prices, which in turn will help buyers dealing with higher interest rates. Homes in Florida continue to go under contract quickly, though the time to contract is slightly increasing: The median time to contract for single-family existing homes last month was 25 days compared to 12 days during the same month a year ago. The median time to contract for existing condo-townhouse units was 25 days compared to 15 days in October 2021.
“Buying or selling a home is a complex and emotional process but working with a local Realtor can help you understand changing market conditions and give you peace of mind.”
Statewide inventory was higher last month than a year ago for both existing single-family homes, up 88.4%, and for condo-townhouse units, up 31%. The supply of single-family existing homes increased to a 2.7-months’ supply while existing condo-townhouse properties were at a 2.5-months’ supply in October.
According to Freddie Mac, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.90% in October 2022, significantly up from the 3.07% average during the same month a year earlier.
© 2022 Florida Realtors®. Reprinted with permission Florida Realtors. All rights reserved.